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Archive for November, 2008

I think I want a Frank Luntz-style focus group dial to use in everyday life.

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It just hit me that Sarah Palin and Ralph Nader share some personality aspects. I think it’s the narcissism. (11/12)

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I’m at a Democratic faction ceasefire. With the Clintons at least, if not the “Clinton Wing.” But I remember so well the night of the 2002 mid-term election massacre, and that sense of rock-bottomness. Two years after a stolen election, one year after September 11, a month after the authorization of the Iraq War, weeks [...]

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(looking at pictures of Obama meeting with his economic advisors)
Everyone around the table looks so happy. Look, look – the people in that picture are Democrats. And they’re in power. This isn’t a shadow government, or an Aaron Sorkin film… they’re actually going to be leading the country. (11/7)

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I think in the morning I’ll take a trip down to D.C. Maybe I’ll go to the Newseum – something I’ve wanted to do since they re-opened – or maybe I’ll just hang out for a bit at the Lincoln Memorial like I used to in college. In any event, something old. Something that reminds [...]

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Crazy making days, an Iowa kind of night. What a country.
It’s an unusual thing to think about today, but I have in my head the infamous Obama “bitterness” comment. I was one of the people critical of him when he said it, but that doesn’t mean I didn’t ‘get’ what he meant.
I’d add [...]

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Mark Warner is ahead in the race for Virginia’s open Senate seat by a greater margin (26 points) than John Kerry leads his opponent in Massachusetts (24 points). How weird is that?

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For the purposes of these predictions, I went with the loosest possible definition of “battleground” states. Some, like Florida or Ohio, are legitimate battlegrounds. Some (Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico, Pennsylvania…) lean one way consistently. A few (West Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin…) need that loose definition to even make the list. Here’s my [...]

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Tuesday weather report:
The statewide forecasts are sunny for Pennsylvania, Missouri, and Ohio, so turnout should be high in both Democratic and Republican areas. No obvious weather advantage for either side. Slight possible weather advantage for Obama in Florida – the only part of the state where rain is predicted is Jacksonville in Duval [...]

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